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  1. Free, publicly-accessible full text available September 1, 2024
  2. Abstract

    Rooting depth is an ecosystem trait that determines the extent of soil development and carbon (C) and water cycling. Recent hypotheses propose that human‐induced changes to Earth's biogeochemical cycles propagate deeply into Earth's subsurface due to rooting depth changes from agricultural and climate‐induced land cover changes. Yet, the lack of a global‐scale quantification of rooting depth responses to human activity limits knowledge of hydrosphere‐atmosphere‐lithosphere feedbacks in the Anthropocene. Here we use land cover data sets to demonstrate that root depth distributions are changing globally as a consequence of agricultural expansion truncating depths above which 99% of root biomass occurs (D99) by ∼60 cm, and woody encroachment linked to anthropogenic climate change extending D99 in other regions by ∼38 cm. The net result of these two opposing drivers is a global reduction of D99 by 5%, or ∼8 cm, representing a loss of ∼11,600 km3of rooted volume. Projected land cover scenarios in 2100 suggest additional future D99 shallowing of up to 30 cm, generating further losses of rooted volume of ∼43,500 km3, values exceeding root losses experienced to date and suggesting that the pace of root shallowing will quicken in the coming century. Losses of Earth's deepest roots—soil‐forming agents—suggest unanticipated changes in fluxes of water, solutes, and C. Two important messages emerge from our analyses: dynamic, human‐modified root distributions should be incorporated into earth systems models, and a significant gap in deep root research inhibits accurate projections of future root distributions and their biogeochemical consequences.

     
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  3. Abstract. Advancing our understanding of Earth system dynamics (ESD) depends on thedevelopment of models and other analytical tools that apply physical,biological, and chemical data. This ambition to increase understanding anddevelop models of ESD based on site observations was the stimulus forcreating the networks of Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER), Critical ZoneObservatories (CZOs), and others. We organized a survey, the results of whichidentified pressing gaps in data availability from these networks, inparticular for the future development and evaluation of models that representESD processes, and provide insights for improvement in both data collectionand model integration.

    From this survey overview of data applications in the context of LTER andCZO research, we identified three challenges: (1) widen application ofterrestrial observation network data in Earth system modelling,(2) develop integrated Earth system models that incorporate processrepresentation and data of multiple disciplines, and (3) identifycomplementarity in measured variables and spatial extent, and promotingsynergies in the existing observational networks. These challenges lead toperspectives and recommendations for an improved dialogue between theobservation networks and the ESD modelling community, including co-locationof sites in the existing networks and further formalizing theserecommendations among these communities. Developing these synergies willenable cross-site and cross-network comparison and synthesis studies, whichwill help produce insights around organizing principles, classifications,and general rules of coupling processes with environmental conditions.

     
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  4. Forecasting the timing and magnitude of snowmelt and runoff is critical to managing mountain water resources. Warming temperatures are increasing the rain–snow transition elevation and are limiting the forecasting skill of statistical models relating historical snow water equivalent to streamflow. While physically based methods are available, they require accurate estimations of the spatial and temporal distribution of meteorological variables in complex terrain. Across many mountainous areas, measurements of precipitation and other meteorological variables are limited to a few reference stations and are not adequate to resolve the complex interactions between topography and atmospheric flow. In this paper, we evaluate the ability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model to approximate the inputs required for a physics-based snow model, iSnobal, instead of using meteorological measurements, for the Boise River Basin (BRB) in Idaho, United States. An iSnobal simulation using station data from 40 locations in and around the BRB resulted in an average root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 4.5 mm compared with 12 SNOTEL measurements. Applying WRF forcings alone was associated with an RMSE of 10.5 mm, while including a simple bias correction to the WRF outputs of temperature and precipitation reduced the RMSE to 6.5 mm. The results highlight the utility of using WRF outputs as input to snowmelt models, as all required input variables are spatiotemporally complete. This will have important benefits in areas with sparse measurement networks and will aid snowmelt and runoff forecasting in mountainous basins.

     
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